The federal IT market will remain flat or decline slightly during the next five years according to a new survey from the TechAmerica Foundation. IT spending is forecasted to increase from $81.2 billion in fiscal 2012 to $85.7 billion in 2017, for a compound annual growth rate of just 1.1 percent over five years.
Civilian agencies’ IT spending will largely remain flat at $42.7 billion in fiscal 2012, increasing during the next five years to $46.8 billion (a 1.9 percent growth rate). Defense Department IT spending will hit $38 billion in fiscal 2012 and then decline to $35 billion by FY 2017.
The survey involved more than 200 senior industry experts from 90 companies and more than 300 meetings with key government executives, think tank experts and congressional staff.
“Although IT will be leveraged to streamline government operations, increase productivity and achieve cost-savings, upward pressure on IT spending will be counteracted by cost containment strategies and strategic sourcing,” the survey said.
TechAmerica Foundation spokesman Dan Heinemeier said debt reduction politics is dominating the federal spending debate.
Heinemeier said four budget scenarios were developed for the forecast; the most likely one being congressional agreement on a $2.1 trillion in deficit reduction.